Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Weal on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Weal 52.4% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Weal 53.1%
Defensive zone
Weal 50.9%
Neutral zone
Weal 56.0%
Result
Jordan Weal favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Tavares
Weal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Tavares
Weal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Weal
1
2
Tavares
Weal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Weal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Weal
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
51.8% (867)
+2.2%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
59.7% (129)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
37.5% (8)
+13.1%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Weal shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,535).
Tavares shoots left. Weal is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
Tavares
Weal
Home
56.1% (10,503)
53.2% (455)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
52.3% (549)
By Period
Tavares
Weal
P1
55.0%
56.6%
P2
54.1%
50.7%
P3
54.1%
51.1%
Final 5 min
54.8%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Weal
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 05:42 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 2 | 16:08 | Offensive | Jordan Weal |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 1 | 16:10 | Offensive | Jordan Weal |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 2 | 07:59 | Defensive | John Tavares |