Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Brodziak 49.7% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 26-24 in 50 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 84.8%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 81.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 59.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Tavares
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
24
(50 meetings)
26
24
Tavares
Brodziak
Last 10: Tavares 6-4 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
19
2
Tavares
Brodziak
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
1
15
Tavares
Brodziak
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brodziak
6
7
Tavares
Brodziak
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
50.5% (6,432)
+3.5%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
52.8% (326)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
45.5% (1,344)
+5.1%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,535).
Tavares shoots left. Brodziak is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,811).
Home / Away
Tavares
Brodziak
Home
56.1% (10,503)
50.4% (4,044)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
49.0% (4,089)
By Period
Tavares
Brodziak
P1
55.0%
49.2%
P2
54.1%
50.7%
P3
54.1%
49.5%
OT
55.9%
42.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2019 | 1 | 19:35 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 27, 2019 | 3 | 00:25 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 27, 2019 | 2 | 19:59 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 27, 2019 | 2 | 19:51 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 3 | 16:24 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 3 | 10:52 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 16:01 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 13:37 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 3 | 06:59 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 3 | 02:43 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 2 | 13:05 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 2 | 06:34 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 2 | 03:56 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 1 | 16:52 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 1 | 02:31 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 17:21 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 15:01 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 03:24 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 00:15 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 07:47 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |