Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Brodziak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Tavares wins 43.5% vs right-shot opponents — Brodziak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 50.6% vs Brodziak 49.5% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 84.0%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 84.5%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 55.9%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 72.3%
27.7%
72.3%
Tavares
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Tavares
Brodziak
Last 8: Tavares 2-6 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Brodziak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
0
6
Tavares
Brodziak
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Brodziak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (1,202)
49.8% (526)
-1.1%
Power Play
59.3% (305)
57.1% (7)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (121)
47.5% (120)
+0.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Tavares is 43.5% vs right-shot opponents (556).
Tavares shoots left. Brodziak is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Tavares
Brodziak
Home
52.1% (841)
51.5% (324)
Away
49.0% (787)
47.4% (329)
By Period
Tavares
Brodziak
P1
52.2%
50.0%
P2
50.7%
45.9%
P3
49.7%
52.5%
OT
37.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.5%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.6%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 17:21 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 15:01 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 03:24 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 00:15 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 07:47 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 1 | 11:24 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 8, 2016 | 3 | 04:55 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 8, 2016 | 1 | 15:26 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |