Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Chipchura shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Chipchura 50.3% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Chipchura leads 9-9 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 71.4%
Defensive zone
Chipchura 73.8%
Neutral zone
Chipchura 53.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Tavares
Chipchura
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
9
(18 meetings)
9
9
Tavares
Chipchura
Last 10: Tavares 4-6 Chipchura
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Tavares
Chipchura
10 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Chipchura
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Tavares
Chipchura
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Chipchura
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
50.9% (2,100)
+3.1%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
45.7% (46)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
45.0% (171)
+5.6%
On power play, Tavares has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chipchura shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Tavares shoots left. Chipchura is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,553).
Home / Away
Tavares
Chipchura
Home
56.1% (10,503)
50.7% (1,143)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
49.9% (1,179)
By Period
Tavares
Chipchura
P1
55.0%
51.1%
P2
54.1%
50.3%
P3
54.1%
48.9%
OT
55.9%
78.6%
Final 5 min
54.8%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2015 | 3 | 17:46 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 3 | 12:57 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 2 | 11:38 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 2 | 11:33 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 13:18 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 06:57 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 03:58 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 00:11 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 06:29 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 03:41 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 1 | 16:10 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 1 | 11:48 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 1 | 11:38 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 1 | 06:24 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 1 | 06:19 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |