Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Chipchura on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Tavares wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Chipchura shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 51.2% vs Chipchura 48.2% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Chipchura leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 74.1%
Defensive zone
Chipchura 65.6%
Neutral zone
Chipchura 50.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Tavares
Chipchura
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Tavares
Chipchura
Last 10: Tavares 5-5 Chipchura
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chipchura
3
4
Tavares
Chipchura
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Chipchura
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
2
Tavares
Chipchura
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Chipchura
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (1,232)
47.9% (332)
+3.6%
Power Play
51.1% (305)
28.6% (7)
+22.5%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (30)
47.8% (23)
-11.1%
On power play, Tavares has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chipchura shoots left. Tavares is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Tavares shoots left. Chipchura is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (256).
Home / Away
Tavares
Chipchura
Home
52.8% (781)
46.5% (159)
Away
49.9% (804)
48.5% (204)
By Period
Tavares
Chipchura
P1
52.8%
50.4%
P2
52.1%
47.0%
P3
48.7%
45.2%
OT
63.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
38.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.3%
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 13:18 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 06:57 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 03:58 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 00:11 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 06:29 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 03:41 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 1 | 16:10 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 1 | 11:48 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 1 | 11:38 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 1 | 06:24 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 1 | 06:19 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |