Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Turris on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 38 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Turris 50.3% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Turris leads 55-50 in 105 meetings
Offensive zone
Turris 63.4%
Defensive zone
Turris 71.9%
Neutral zone
Turris 67.1%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 67.6%
32.4%
67.6%
Tavares
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
50
-
55
(105 meetings)
50
55
Tavares
Turris
Last 10: Tavares 7-3 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
20
13
Tavares
Turris
33 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Turris
11
27
Tavares
Turris
38 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
19
15
Tavares
Turris
34 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (15,885)
50.2% (7,653)
+3.8%
Power Play
56.5% (4,221)
52.4% (1,312)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (612)
48.6% (580)
+2.1%
On power play, Tavares has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Tavares is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (7,429).
Tavares shoots left. Turris is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,446).
Home / Away
Tavares
Turris
Home
56.1% (10,389)
53.5% (4,794)
Away
52.7% (10,358)
47.1% (4,756)
By Period
Tavares
Turris
P1
55.1%
51.5%
P2
54.1%
50.8%
P3
54.0%
48.4%
OT
56.0%
56.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.4%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2022 | 3 | 09:17 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 16:40 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 3 | 14:14 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 08:54 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 08:49 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 2 | 14:11 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 1 | 10:53 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 17:23 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 11:00 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 10:22 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 10:19 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 3 | 10:30 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 1 | 01:26 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 3 | 18:54 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 11:36 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 1 | 13:24 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 3 | 18:28 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 3 | 07:07 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 3 | 07:02 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |