Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.4% vs 49.0%). Look for Turris on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Tavares wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Turris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 49.4% vs Turris 49.1% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Turris leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 71.4%
Defensive zone
Turris 59.8%
Neutral zone
Tavares 50.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Tavares
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Tavares
Turris
Last 10: Tavares 4-6 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Turris
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Turris
0
6
Tavares
Turris
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Turris
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (716)
50.3% (648)
-1.7%
Power Play
52.4% (208)
41.1% (151)
+11.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
52.1% (121)
-18.8%
On penalty kill, Turris has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Tavares is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Tavares shoots left. Turris is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Home / Away
Tavares
Turris
Home
50.7% (448)
51.4% (453)
Away
48.1% (482)
46.7% (467)
By Period
Tavares
Turris
P1
52.8%
50.7%
P2
51.4%
50.5%
P3
43.7%
45.6%
OT
54.5%
55.6%
Final 5 min
48.6%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.4%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2013 | 3 | 19:08 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 3 | 19:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 3 | 05:10 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 2 | 18:33 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 2 | 17:17 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 2 | 11:16 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 2 | 11:02 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 3 | 04:49 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 2 | 12:04 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 1 | 09:14 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |