Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Turris on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.7% vs Turris 48.4% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Turris leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 60.6%
Defensive zone
Turris 74.7%
Neutral zone
Turris 55.4%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Tavares
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Tavares
Turris
Last 10: Tavares 5-5 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
2
4
Tavares
Turris
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
2
Tavares
Turris
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Tavares
Turris
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (692)
49.7% (165)
+4.8%
Power Play
59.1% (149)
40.0% (15)
+19.1%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
37.5% (24)
+17.0%
On power play, Tavares has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Tavares is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Tavares shoots left. Turris is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Tavares
Turris
Home
57.9% (404)
48.5% (99)
Away
52.9% (448)
46.7% (105)
By Period
Tavares
Turris
P1
54.2%
49.2%
P2
55.1%
51.9%
P3
56.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
57.1%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.3%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2021 | 3 | 14:14 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 08:54 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 08:49 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 2 | 14:11 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 1 | 10:53 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 17:23 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 11:00 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 10:22 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 10:19 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 3 | 10:30 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 1 | 01:26 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 3 | 18:54 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 11:36 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 1 | 13:24 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |