Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Wallmark shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Wallmark 50.2% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 14-5 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 93.1%
Defensive zone
Tavares 65.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 81.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 84.8%
84.8%
15.2%
Tavares
Wallmark
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
5
(19 meetings)
14
5
Tavares
Wallmark
Last 10: Tavares 8-2 Wallmark
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
10
1
Tavares
Wallmark
11 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Tavares
Wallmark
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Tavares
Wallmark
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Wallmark
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
50.5% (1,852)
+3.5%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
56.3% (103)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
44.9% (216)
+5.7%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wallmark shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Tavares shoots left. Wallmark is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,391).
Home / Away
Tavares
Wallmark
Home
56.1% (10,503)
50.8% (1,070)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
49.6% (1,101)
By Period
Tavares
Wallmark
P1
55.0%
51.4%
P2
54.1%
50.8%
P3
54.1%
48.7%
OT
55.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2020 | 2 | 03:24 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 18:20 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 11:01 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 17:30 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 12:30 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 13:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 2 | 07:16 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 3 | 15:57 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 3 | 15:41 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 2 | 13:51 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 3 | 19:09 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 3 | 10:57 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 2 | 19:38 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 2 | 12:54 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 2 | 11:58 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 2 | 11:44 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 2 | 05:46 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 2 | 06:51 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 1 | 11:44 | Offensive | John Tavares |