Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Wallmark shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.9% vs Wallmark 50.3% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 82.2%
Defensive zone
Wallmark 53.8%
Neutral zone
Tavares 74.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 73.8%
73.8%
26.2%
Tavares
Wallmark
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Tavares
Wallmark
Last 6: Tavares 4-2 Wallmark
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Wallmark
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
0
1
Tavares
Wallmark
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Wallmark
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Wallmark
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (861)
50.2% (633)
+4.6%
Power Play
57.5% (226)
71.9% (32)
-14.4%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (29)
43.2% (88)
+8.5%
On power play, Wallmark has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wallmark shoots left. Tavares is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (685).
Tavares shoots left. Wallmark is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (455).
Home / Away
Tavares
Wallmark
Home
58.1% (559)
48.6% (368)
Away
52.4% (557)
51.9% (385)
By Period
Tavares
Wallmark
P1
57.6%
49.0%
P2
55.5%
55.0%
P3
52.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
54.7%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.3%
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2020 | 2 | 03:24 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 18:20 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 11:01 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 17:30 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 12:30 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 13:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |