Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Johansson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 51.2% vs Johansson 44.1% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 87.6%
Defensive zone
Tavares 70.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 75.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 80.4%
80.4%
19.6%
Tavares
Johansson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Tavares
Johansson
Last 7: Tavares 5-2 Johansson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Tavares
Johansson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Johansson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Johansson
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (1,232)
43.2% (576)
+8.3%
Power Play
51.1% (305)
42.9% (112)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (30)
28.6% (7)
+8.1%
On even strength, Tavares has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansson shoots left. Tavares is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Tavares shoots left. Johansson is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Tavares
Johansson
Home
52.8% (781)
44.2% (360)
Away
49.9% (804)
42.3% (350)
By Period
Tavares
Johansson
P1
52.8%
46.2%
P2
52.1%
42.6%
P3
48.7%
41.3%
OT
63.6%
28.6%
Final 5 min
51.8%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.3%
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
43.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2012 | 2 | 14:09 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 3 | 15:33 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 3 | 15:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 3 | 06:49 | Offensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 2 | 06:34 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 2 | 02:59 | Offensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 1 | 14:21 | Defensive | John Tavares |