Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Johansson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 53.8% vs Johansson 47.1% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 62.0%
Defensive zone
Johansson 71.2%
Neutral zone
Johansson 54.7%
Result
Marcus Johansson favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Tavares
Johansson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Tavares
Johansson
Last 5: Tavares 2-3 Johansson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
1
Tavares
Johansson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansson
0
2
Tavares
Johansson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Johansson
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (1,077)
46.0% (272)
+8.0%
Power Play
54.5% (275)
100.0% (2)
-45.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (18)
25.0% (4)
+25.0%
On power play, Johansson has a +45.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansson shoots left. Tavares is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (894).
Tavares shoots left. Johansson is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Home / Away
Tavares
Johansson
Home
56.8% (655)
47.7% (130)
Away
51.6% (715)
44.6% (148)
By Period
Tavares
Johansson
P1
54.1%
46.7%
P2
53.9%
50.0%
P3
54.3%
44.3%
OT
54.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.1%
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2016 | 3 | 15:10 | Offensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 1 | 14:53 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 1 | 14:46 | Defensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 15:16 | Defensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Jan 7, 2016 | 1 | 13:22 | Offensive | John Tavares |