Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 53.8% vs Granlund 44.1% (+11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 51.2%
Defensive zone
Granlund 80.7%
Neutral zone
Granlund 66.8%
Result
Markus Granlund favored at 63.6%
36.4%
63.6%
Tavares
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Tavares
Granlund
Last 6: Tavares 2-4 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
3
Tavares
Granlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Granlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
1
Tavares
Granlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (1,077)
42.6% (441)
+11.4%
Power Play
54.5% (275)
33.3% (12)
+21.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (18)
52.6% (19)
-2.6%
On power play, Tavares has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Tavares is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (894).
Tavares shoots left. Granlund is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (304).
Home / Away
Tavares
Granlund
Home
56.8% (655)
44.0% (284)
Away
51.6% (715)
41.0% (188)
By Period
Tavares
Granlund
P1
54.1%
45.8%
P2
53.9%
39.7%
P3
54.3%
43.2%
OT
54.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.1%
Granlund
44.0%▼
46.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2016 | 3 | 19:56 | Offensive | Markus Granlund |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 3 | 06:12 | Offensive | Markus Granlund |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 3 | 03:17 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 2 | 04:11 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 10:54 | Offensive | Markus Granlund |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 10:42 | Neutral | Markus Granlund |