Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 16 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Talbot shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Talbot 47.0% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Talbot leads 22-19 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 71.8%
Defensive zone
Talbot 84.6%
Neutral zone
Talbot 66.9%
Result
Max Talbot favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Tavares
Talbot
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
22
(41 meetings)
19
22
Tavares
Talbot
Last 10: Tavares 4-6 Talbot
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
13
3
Tavares
Talbot
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
3
7
Tavares
Talbot
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Talbot
3
12
Tavares
Talbot
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Talbot
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
48.3% (1,738)
+5.7%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
49.0% (51)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
42.3% (631)
+8.3%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Talbot shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Tavares shoots left. Talbot is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,539).
Home / Away
Tavares
Talbot
Home
56.1% (10,503)
48.0% (1,219)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
45.8% (1,215)
By Period
Tavares
Talbot
P1
55.0%
48.7%
P2
54.1%
43.5%
P3
54.1%
48.6%
OT
55.9%
45.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2013 | OT | 00:57 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 28, 2013 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Feb 7, 2012 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 3 | 19:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 2 | 17:40 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 2 | 06:56 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 1 | 13:50 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 1 | 13:45 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 1 | 13:39 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 1 | 02:39 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 1 | 19:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 23, 2011 | OT | 00:21 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 3 | 19:42 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 1 | 18:56 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 1 | 08:30 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 1 | 08:02 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 2 | 11:11 | Neutral | Max Talbot |