Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Handzus on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Handzus shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Handzus 51.4% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Handzus leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 60.3%
Defensive zone
Handzus 82.1%
Neutral zone
Handzus 62.1%
Result
Michal Handzus favored at 61.1%
38.9%
61.1%
Tavares
Handzus
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
12
(22 meetings)
10
12
Tavares
Handzus
Last 10: Tavares 3-7 Handzus
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
5
4
Tavares
Handzus
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Handzus
3
6
Tavares
Handzus
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Tavares
Handzus
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Handzus
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
51.5% (2,438)
+2.5%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
58.0% (286)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
47.3% (471)
+3.3%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Handzus shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Tavares shoots left. Handzus is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,162).
Home / Away
Tavares
Handzus
Home
56.1% (10,503)
52.2% (1,736)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
50.6% (1,481)
By Period
Tavares
Handzus
P1
55.0%
52.5%
P2
54.1%
53.7%
P3
54.1%
48.4%
OT
55.9%
41.7%
Final 5 min
54.8%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Handzus
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2014 | 3 | 17:20 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 3 | 11:29 | Offensive | Michal Handzus |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 2 | 14:37 | Offensive | Michal Handzus |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 2 | 14:30 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 11, 2013 | 3 | 11:10 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Oct 11, 2013 | 2 | 09:25 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Oct 11, 2013 | 1 | 16:05 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 19:57 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 19:41 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 3 | 10:35 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 3 | 03:25 | Offensive | Michal Handzus |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 2 | 14:39 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 2 | 04:24 | Offensive | Michal Handzus |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 1 | 17:49 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 1 | 06:33 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 3 | 06:59 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 1 | 13:39 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 1 | 06:47 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |