John Tavares vs Mikhail Grigorenko
2014-15 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Grigorenko on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Grigorenko shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 52.1% vs Grigorenko 47.1% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 66.4%
Defensive zone
Grigorenko 82.2%
Neutral zone
Grigorenko 57.5%
Result
Mikhail Grigorenko favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Tavares
Grigorenko
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Tavares
Grigorenko
Last 7: Tavares 2-5 Grigorenko
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
1
Tavares
Grigorenko
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grigorenko
0
3
Tavares
Grigorenko
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grigorenko
0
1
Tavares
Grigorenko
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Grigorenko
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (1,121)
44.5% (301)
+7.9%
Power Play
51.3% (304)
63.0% (27)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
58.8% (17)
66.7% (3)
-7.9%
On power play, Grigorenko has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grigorenko shoots left. Tavares is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (911).
Tavares shoots left. Grigorenko is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Home / Away
Tavares
Grigorenko
Home
56.5% (731)
52.5% (141)
Away
47.8% (711)
41.6% (190)
By Period
Tavares
Grigorenko
P1
56.1%
45.8%
P2
50.3%
43.0%
P3
50.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.2%
Grigorenko
54.0%▼
55.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2015 | 3 | 19:25 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 2 | 15:27 | Defensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 2 | 03:29 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 2 | 00:51 | Offensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 1 | 11:35 | Neutral | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 1 | 11:39 | Defensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 1 | 11:29 | Defensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |