Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Shore 50.9% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Shore leads 11-11 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 68.1%
Defensive zone
Shore 80.0%
Neutral zone
Shore 58.3%
Result
Nicholas Shore favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Tavares
Shore
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
11
(22 meetings)
11
11
Tavares
Shore
Last 10: Tavares 7-3 Shore
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
8
0
Tavares
Shore
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shore
1
8
Tavares
Shore
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shore
2
3
Tavares
Shore
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Shore
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
51.8% (2,455)
+2.2%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
56.3% (64)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
43.1% (297)
+7.5%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Shore shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,535).
Tavares shoots left. Shore is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,965).
Home / Away
Tavares
Shore
Home
56.1% (10,503)
52.0% (1,391)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
49.9% (1,425)
By Period
Tavares
Shore
P1
55.0%
50.6%
P2
54.1%
51.2%
P3
54.1%
50.7%
OT
55.9%
73.3%
Final 5 min
54.8%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Shore
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 06:27 | Defensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 04:38 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 2 | 13:48 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 2 | 10:08 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 15, 2017 | 1 | 15:17 | Defensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 3 | 03:29 | Defensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 2 | 16:40 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 1 | 09:12 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 2 | 04:07 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 1 | 11:21 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 3 | 09:59 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 3 | 01:53 | Defensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicholas Shore |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 2 | 09:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 2 | 09:25 | Defensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 2 | 03:28 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 1 | 17:08 | Defensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 1 | 07:10 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 1 | 04:48 | Neutral | Nicholas Shore |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicholas Shore |