Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 50.2%). Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Tavares wins 43.5% vs right-shot opponents — Shore shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 50.6% vs Shore 50.2% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 63.2%
Defensive zone
Shore 69.4%
Neutral zone
Shore 58.0%
Result
John Tavares favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Tavares
Shore
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Tavares
Shore
Last 5: Tavares 4-1 Shore
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
0
Tavares
Shore
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shore
0
1
Tavares
Shore
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Shore
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (1,202)
51.7% (635)
-3.0%
Power Play
59.3% (305)
41.2% (17)
+18.1%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (121)
39.1% (69)
+8.8%
On power play, Tavares has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Shore shoots right. Tavares is 43.5% vs right-shot opponents (556).
Tavares shoots left. Shore is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Home / Away
Tavares
Shore
Home
52.1% (841)
48.2% (332)
Away
49.0% (787)
51.9% (389)
By Period
Tavares
Shore
P1
52.2%
49.1%
P2
50.7%
53.2%
P3
49.7%
47.8%
Final 5 min
51.5%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.6%
Shore
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2017 | 3 | 03:29 | Defensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 2 | 16:40 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 1 | 09:12 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 2 | 04:07 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 1 | 11:21 | Offensive | John Tavares |