Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 50.0%). Look for Berglund on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Tavares wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Berglund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 50.6% vs Berglund 50.0% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Berglund leads 13-5 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 76.0%
Defensive zone
Berglund 69.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 58.2%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Tavares
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
13
(18 meetings)
5
13
Tavares
Berglund
Last 10: Tavares 4-6 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
2
Tavares
Berglund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
1
8
Tavares
Berglund
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Berglund
1
3
Tavares
Berglund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (1,202)
50.5% (982)
-1.8%
Power Play
59.3% (305)
55.7% (79)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (121)
40.7% (108)
+7.2%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Tavares is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,072).
Tavares shoots left. Berglund is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (699).
Home / Away
Tavares
Berglund
Home
52.1% (841)
50.7% (548)
Away
49.0% (787)
49.3% (621)
By Period
Tavares
Berglund
P1
52.2%
49.6%
P2
50.7%
50.5%
P3
49.7%
49.6%
OT
37.9%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.6%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 18:31 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 12:28 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 09:48 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 13:20 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 13:09 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 1 | 19:11 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 1 | 17:09 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 1 | 16:52 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 1 | 10:14 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 1 | 09:21 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 1 | 05:56 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 1 | 03:21 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 1 | 03:05 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 8, 2016 | 3 | 14:25 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 8, 2016 | 2 | 11:31 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 8, 2016 | 2 | 11:23 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 8, 2016 | 2 | 04:49 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |