Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Holland shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Holland 45.9% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 18-12 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 93.4%
Defensive zone
Tavares 64.0%
Neutral zone
Tavares 82.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 79.6%
79.6%
20.4%
Tavares
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
12
(30 meetings)
18
12
Tavares
Holland
Last 10: Tavares 7-3 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
8
1
Tavares
Holland
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Holland
3
7
Tavares
Holland
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
7
4
Tavares
Holland
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
45.6% (2,232)
+8.4%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
52.4% (126)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
42.3% (137)
+8.3%
On even strength, Tavares has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Tavares shoots left. Holland is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,605).
Home / Away
Tavares
Holland
Home
56.1% (10,503)
48.6% (1,288)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
42.7% (1,207)
By Period
Tavares
Holland
P1
55.0%
46.1%
P2
54.1%
47.3%
P3
54.1%
43.9%
OT
55.9%
39.1%
Final 5 min
54.8%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2018 | 3 | 19:16 | Offensive | Peter Holland |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 2 | 07:23 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 7, 2017 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 3 | 16:17 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 3 | 10:33 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 1 | 15:48 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 1 | 12:09 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 1 | 08:46 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 2 | 16:28 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 2 | 04:12 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 1 | 08:22 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 3 | 15:14 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 3 | 13:11 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 3 | 08:08 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 3 | 07:53 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 3 | 06:06 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 3 | 05:57 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 3 | 03:56 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 2 | 10:15 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 2 | 04:53 | Offensive | John Tavares |