Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Asplund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Asplund 44.8% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 52.4%
Defensive zone
Asplund 81.1%
Neutral zone
Asplund 66.2%
Result
Rasmus Asplund favored at 65.0%
35.0%
65.0%
Tavares
Asplund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Tavares
Asplund
Last 6: Tavares 2-4 Asplund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Asplund
0
2
Tavares
Asplund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Asplund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Asplund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Asplund
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
41.3% (208)
+12.7%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
45.5% (11)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
48.8% (43)
+1.8%
On even strength, Tavares has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Asplund shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Tavares shoots left. Asplund is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (166).
Home / Away
Tavares
Asplund
Home
56.1% (10,503)
45.6% (125)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
40.1% (137)
By Period
Tavares
Asplund
P1
55.0%
47.1%
P2
54.1%
41.9%
P3
54.1%
36.6%
OT
55.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Asplund
48.0%▲
43.0%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 06:08 | Offensive | Rasmus Asplund |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 15:23 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 06:50 | Neutral | Rasmus Asplund |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 02:43 | Defensive | Rasmus Asplund |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 1 | 16:24 | Offensive | Rasmus Asplund |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 1 | 13:03 | Defensive | John Tavares |