Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Asplund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.9% vs Asplund 46.3% (+12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 78.1%
Defensive zone
Asplund 79.0%
Neutral zone
Asplund 56.4%
Result
Rasmus Asplund favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Tavares
Asplund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Tavares
Asplund
Last 5: Tavares 2-3 Asplund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Asplund
0
1
Tavares
Asplund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Asplund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Asplund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Asplund
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (861)
37.3% (83)
+17.5%
Power Play
57.5% (226)
50.0% (2)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (29)
58.6% (29)
-6.9%
On even strength, Tavares has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Asplund shoots left. Tavares is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (685).
Tavares shoots left. Asplund is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (72).
Home / Away
Tavares
Asplund
Home
58.1% (559)
51.1% (47)
Away
52.4% (557)
37.3% (67)
By Period
Tavares
Asplund
P1
57.6%
44.7%
P2
55.5%
38.1%
P3
52.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
54.7%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.3%
Asplund
48.0%▲
43.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 15:23 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 06:50 | Neutral | Rasmus Asplund |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 02:43 | Defensive | Rasmus Asplund |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 1 | 16:24 | Offensive | Rasmus Asplund |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 1 | 13:03 | Defensive | John Tavares |