Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Peverley 57.7% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 26-19 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Peverley 50.6%
Defensive zone
Peverley 82.4%
Neutral zone
Peverley 63.5%
Result
Rich Peverley favored at 65.3%
34.7%
65.3%
Tavares
Peverley
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
19
(45 meetings)
26
19
Tavares
Peverley
Last 10: Tavares 7-3 Peverley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
17
3
Tavares
Peverley
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
6
12
Tavares
Peverley
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Peverley
3
4
Tavares
Peverley
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Peverley
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (15,885)
58.0% (1,715)
-4.0%
Power Play
56.5% (4,221)
57.0% (391)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (612)
59.2% (333)
-8.5%
On penalty kill, Peverley has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peverley shoots right. Tavares is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (7,429).
Tavares shoots left. Peverley is 59.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,710).
Home / Away
Tavares
Peverley
Home
56.1% (10,389)
58.1% (1,266)
Away
52.7% (10,358)
57.9% (1,182)
By Period
Tavares
Peverley
P1
55.1%
59.6%
P2
54.1%
57.8%
P3
54.0%
57.0%
OT
56.0%
51.3%
Final 5 min
54.7%
60.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.4%
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2014 | 2 | 03:24 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 6, 2014 | 2 | 03:03 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 6, 2014 | 2 | 00:24 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 6, 2014 | 1 | 15:13 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 6, 2014 | 1 | 00:47 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 2 | 15:09 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 3 | 14:45 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 1 | 16:03 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 1 | 13:21 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 1 | 08:02 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 3 | 14:27 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 2 | 07:51 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 1 | 05:55 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 3 | 03:17 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 3 | 03:07 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 2 | 17:02 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 2 | 16:39 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 2 | 13:08 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 2 | 09:13 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 2 | 08:52 | Offensive | John Tavares |