Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Tavares wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 51.2% vs Ott 55.0% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Ott leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 90.0%
Defensive zone
Tavares 68.5%
Neutral zone
Tavares 77.0%
Result
John Tavares favored at 74.2%
74.2%
25.8%
Tavares
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Tavares
Ott
Last 10: Tavares 3-7 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Ott
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
2
6
Tavares
Ott
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
1
4
Tavares
Ott
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (1,232)
56.9% (705)
-5.4%
Power Play
51.1% (305)
55.8% (154)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (30)
48.3% (145)
-11.6%
On penalty kill, Ott has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Tavares is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Tavares shoots left. Ott is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Home / Away
Tavares
Ott
Home
52.8% (781)
54.9% (526)
Away
49.9% (804)
56.1% (485)
By Period
Tavares
Ott
P1
52.8%
55.4%
P2
52.1%
54.0%
P3
48.7%
56.1%
OT
63.6%
73.7%
Final 5 min
51.8%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.3%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2011 | 3 | 19:25 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 3 | 19:14 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 3 | 11:16 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 3 | 01:07 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 1 | 04:31 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 3 | 14:11 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 3 | 11:33 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 3 | 08:20 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 3 | 04:41 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 2 | 16:48 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 2 | 13:44 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 2 | 08:42 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 2 | 02:48 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 1 | 11:56 | Defensive | Steve Ott |