Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 52.1% vs Ott 54.7% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 86.8%
Defensive zone
Ott 66.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 63.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Tavares
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Tavares
Ott
Last 8: Tavares 3-5 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Ott
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
0
3
Tavares
Ott
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
1
Tavares
Ott
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (1,121)
59.6% (228)
-7.2%
Power Play
51.3% (304)
71.4% (7)
-20.1%
Penalty Kill
58.8% (17)
38.8% (49)
+20.0%
On power play, Ott has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Tavares is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (911).
Tavares shoots left. Ott is 61.1% vs left-shot opponents (149).
Home / Away
Tavares
Ott
Home
56.5% (731)
61.9% (126)
Away
47.8% (711)
51.9% (158)
By Period
Tavares
Ott
P1
56.1%
65.4%
P2
50.3%
50.0%
P3
50.5%
55.1%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.2%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2014 | 1 | 05:58 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 17:32 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 15:09 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 13:26 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 10:51 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 09:59 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 2 | 18:32 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 2 | 07:58 | Offensive | John Tavares |