Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +17.2% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 61.0% vs left-shot opponents — Teravainen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.2% vs Teravainen 45.3% (+17.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 52.4%
Defensive zone
Tavares 65.5%
Neutral zone
Teravainen 52.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 65.5%
65.5%
34.5%
Tavares
Teravainen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Tavares
Teravainen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Teravainen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Teravainen
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (914)
45.6% (57)
+12.4%
Power Play
57.0% (235)
33.3% (30)
+23.7%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
35.7% (14)
+22.2%
On power play, Tavares has a +23.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Teravainen shoots left. Tavares is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (766).
Tavares shoots left. Teravainen is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (67).
Home / Away
Tavares
Teravainen
Home
57.8% (614)
47.5% (59)
Away
57.8% (554)
31.0% (42)
By Period
Tavares
Teravainen
P1
58.0%
31.3%
P2
56.9%
41.2%
P3
58.4%
45.5%
OT
57.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.8%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Teravainen
34.0%▼
39.0%
40.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 05:00 | Defensive | Teuvo Teravainen |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 03:22 | Defensive | John Tavares |