Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Teravainen on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Teravainen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 50.6% vs Teravainen 47.4% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Teravainen 57.5%
Defensive zone
Teravainen 57.5%
Neutral zone
Teravainen 60.3%
Result
Teuvo Teravainen favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Tavares
Teravainen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Tavares
Teravainen
Last 6: Tavares 2-4 Teravainen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Teravainen
0
1
Tavares
Teravainen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Teravainen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Teravainen
1
2
Tavares
Teravainen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Teravainen
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (1,202)
47.2% (392)
+1.5%
Power Play
59.3% (305)
38.1% (21)
+21.2%
On power play, Tavares has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Teravainen shoots left. Tavares is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,072).
Tavares shoots left. Teravainen is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Tavares
Teravainen
Home
52.1% (841)
51.5% (231)
Away
49.0% (787)
40.7% (182)
By Period
Tavares
Teravainen
P1
52.2%
49.6%
P2
50.7%
48.7%
P3
49.7%
43.4%
OT
37.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.6%
Teravainen
34.0%▼
39.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2017 | 1 | 17:20 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 11:30 | Offensive | Teuvo Teravainen |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 08:08 | Defensive | Teuvo Teravainen |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 2 | 16:57 | Neutral | Teuvo Teravainen |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 2 | 05:07 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 2 | 04:58 | Neutral | Teuvo Teravainen |