Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.5% vs 57.7%). Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Tavares wins 60.6% vs left-shot opponents — Washe shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.0% vs Washe 56.1% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 80.3%
Defensive zone
Washe 76.4%
Neutral zone
Washe 52.2%
Result
John Tavares favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Tavares
Washe
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Tavares
Washe
Last 8: Tavares 4-4 Washe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
1
Tavares
Washe
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Washe
0
3
Tavares
Washe
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Washe
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (1,092)
60.9% (320)
-2.9%
Power Play
56.2% (276)
100.0% (3)
-43.8%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (24)
40.0% (65)
+14.2%
On power play, Washe has a +43.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Washe shoots left. Tavares is 60.6% vs left-shot opponents (904).
Tavares shoots left. Washe is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Tavares
Washe
Home
57.7% (702)
61.7% (175)
Away
57.4% (690)
54.5% (213)
By Period
Tavares
Washe
P1
57.4%
60.8%
P2
57.5%
59.5%
P3
57.8%
54.2%
OT
55.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.7%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
56.0%▬
57.0%
57.5%
Washe
66.0%▲
58.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 11:36 | Offensive | Tim Washe |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 09:18 | Defensive | Tim Washe |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 06:40 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 06:20 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 2 | 09:04 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 1 | 11:57 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 01:14 | Defensive | Tim Washe |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 19:00 | Defensive | Tim Washe |