Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.4% vs 54.3%). Look for Zajac on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 83 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Zajac 54.2% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Zajac leads 112-98 in 210 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 66.4%
Defensive zone
Zajac 70.6%
Neutral zone
Zajac 52.1%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Tavares
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
98
-
112
(210 meetings)
98
112
Tavares
Zajac
Last 10: Tavares 5-5 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
49
24
Tavares
Zajac
73 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
24
59
Tavares
Zajac
83 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
25
29
Tavares
Zajac
54 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
54.4% (9,056)
-0.4%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
59.1% (1,498)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
48.6% (1,599)
+2.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,535).
Tavares shoots left. Zajac is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,183).
Home / Away
Tavares
Zajac
Home
56.1% (10,503)
55.5% (6,156)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
53.0% (6,038)
By Period
Tavares
Zajac
P1
55.0%
53.8%
P2
54.1%
55.6%
P3
54.1%
53.6%
OT
55.9%
52.3%
Final 5 min
54.8%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 15:01 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 14:49 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 08:08 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 05:03 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 01:26 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 2 | 09:34 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 1 | 18:24 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 1 | 12:47 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 1 | 05:12 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 1 | 04:49 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 27, 2019 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 19:31 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 17:51 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 17:43 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 17:29 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 14:59 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 11:52 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 2 | 08:07 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 1 | 19:53 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 1 | 13:26 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |