Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Fiddler on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 18 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Fiddler 52.1% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Fiddler leads 31-20 in 51 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 54.4%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 90.1%
Neutral zone
Fiddler 69.5%
Result
Vernon Fiddler favored at 68.8%
31.2%
68.8%
Tavares
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
31
(51 meetings)
20
31
Tavares
Fiddler
Last 10: Tavares 4-6 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
13
4
Tavares
Fiddler
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
2
16
Tavares
Fiddler
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fiddler
5
11
Tavares
Fiddler
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (15,885)
53.7% (4,899)
+0.3%
Power Play
56.5% (4,221)
50.0% (154)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (612)
46.9% (1,479)
+3.8%
On power play, Tavares has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,318).
Tavares shoots left. Fiddler is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,362).
Home / Away
Tavares
Fiddler
Home
56.1% (10,389)
53.1% (3,191)
Away
52.7% (10,358)
51.2% (3,366)
By Period
Tavares
Fiddler
P1
55.1%
52.1%
P2
54.1%
52.6%
P3
54.0%
52.0%
OT
56.0%
46.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.4%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2017 | 3 | 07:11 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 2 | 04:35 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 1 | 19:57 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 1 | 16:50 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 1 | 07:26 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 1 | 02:59 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 3 | 15:54 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 2 | 01:56 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 1 | 02:39 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 3, 2016 | 3 | 11:41 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 3, 2016 | 1 | 11:14 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 3, 2016 | 1 | 10:15 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 3 | 18:34 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 3 | 14:59 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 3 | 08:05 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 3 | 04:56 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 2 | 09:08 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 1 | 16:39 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 1 | 14:03 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |