Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Staal wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Drouin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 46.6% vs Drouin 45.6% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drouin 69.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 71.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 62.8%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Staal
Drouin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Staal
Drouin
Last 9: Staal 6-3 Drouin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Drouin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Drouin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
4
2
Staal
Drouin
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Drouin
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (565)
45.1% (355)
+4.5%
Power Play
35.0% (20)
40.9% (22)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (158)
0.0% (3)
+35.4%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +35.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drouin shoots left. Staal is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Staal shoots left. Drouin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (230).
Home / Away
Staal
Drouin
Home
46.1% (380)
37.5% (160)
Away
46.3% (363)
49.5% (220)
By Period
Staal
Drouin
P1
45.7%
40.3%
P2
46.2%
43.3%
P3
46.5%
49.6%
Final 5 min
47.4%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 02:06 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 04:44 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 01:23 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 14:36 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 11:40 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 16:20 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 05:54 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 04:51 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 02:06 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |