Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Drouin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Nielsen wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Drouin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 53.5% vs Drouin 45.6% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drouin 72.9%
Defensive zone
Drouin 70.0%
Neutral zone
Drouin 76.4%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 74.3%
25.7%
74.3%
Nielsen
Drouin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Nielsen
Drouin
Last 5: Nielsen 1-4 Drouin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
0
3
Nielsen
Drouin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Nielsen
Drouin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Drouin
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (906)
43.6% (140)
+10.6%
Power Play
63.2% (152)
43.6% (78)
+19.6%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (156)
50.0% (2)
-7.7%
On power play, Nielsen has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drouin shoots left. Nielsen is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Nielsen shoots left. Drouin is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Drouin
Home
55.3% (608)
45.4% (108)
Away
52.3% (606)
42.0% (112)
By Period
Nielsen
Drouin
P1
54.1%
46.0%
P2
52.6%
38.6%
P3
54.0%
46.1%
OT
65.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.6%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.8%
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2017 | OT | 00:34 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 24, 2017 | 2 | 18:40 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 24, 2017 | 2 | 03:11 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 24, 2017 | 2 | 03:03 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 2 | 06:56 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |