Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Drouin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Compher wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Drouin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.8% vs Drouin 43.2% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drouin 81.9%
Defensive zone
Drouin 62.5%
Neutral zone
Drouin 67.9%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 78.0%
22.0%
78.0%
Compher
Drouin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Compher
Drouin
Last 5: Compher 0-5 Drouin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
0
4
Compher
Drouin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
0
1
Compher
Drouin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Drouin
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (431)
41.5% (869)
+2.8%
Power Play
50.7% (73)
47.9% (167)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (101)
40.0% (15)
+4.6%
On penalty kill, Compher has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drouin shoots left. Compher is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Compher shoots right. Drouin is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
Compher
Drouin
Home
47.2% (282)
42.8% (502)
Away
43.3% (323)
42.3% (549)
By Period
Compher
Drouin
P1
47.6%
44.0%
P2
40.3%
39.7%
P3
47.4%
44.4%
OT
66.7%
37.5%
Final 5 min
45.5%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
45.1%
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2018 | 3 | 18:13 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Feb 14, 2018 | 3 | 03:00 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Feb 14, 2018 | 2 | 01:55 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Feb 14, 2018 | 1 | 04:34 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 3 | 08:51 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |