Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Drouin wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 43.2% vs Thompson 55.6% (-13.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 62.1%
Defensive zone
Thompson 95.0%
Neutral zone
Thompson 87.1%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 78.7%
21.3%
78.7%
Drouin
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Drouin
Thompson
Last 5: Drouin 4-1 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
2
0
Drouin
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Drouin
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drouin
2
0
Drouin
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (869)
57.7% (482)
-16.2%
Power Play
47.9% (167)
100.0% (2)
-52.1%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
51.9% (154)
-11.9%
On power play, Thompson has a +52.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Drouin is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (688).
Drouin shoots left. Thompson is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Drouin
Thompson
Home
42.8% (502)
59.0% (327)
Away
42.3% (549)
53.7% (311)
By Period
Drouin
Thompson
P1
44.0%
54.2%
P2
39.7%
61.3%
P3
44.4%
53.9%
OT
37.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
42.7%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
42.5%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2017 | 3 | 06:30 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Nov 29, 2017 | 2 | 07:27 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Nov 29, 2017 | 1 | 04:02 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 2 | 17:41 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 1 | 03:18 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |