Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 49.5% vs Hischier 54.9% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Drouin 67.9%
Defensive zone
Drouin 60.3%
Neutral zone
Drouin 59.4%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Drouin
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Drouin
Hischier
Last 10: Drouin 4-6 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
2
1
Drouin
Hischier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
4
Drouin
Hischier
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
2
Drouin
Hischier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (181)
55.0% (1,107)
-7.5%
Power Play
56.8% (44)
63.1% (252)
-6.3%
On even strength, Hischier has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Drouin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Drouin shoots left. Hischier is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (977).
Home / Away
Drouin
Hischier
Home
49.5% (97)
56.5% (763)
Away
49.2% (128)
54.0% (745)
By Period
Drouin
Hischier
P1
52.1%
56.0%
P2
51.5%
57.6%
P3
45.0%
53.0%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 10:13 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 11:11 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 14:44 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 16:49 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 11:50 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 05:04 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 02:10 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 16:57 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 11:02 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:37 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 12:34 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |