Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Drouin wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 44.5% vs Rask 50.1% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drouin 85.1%
Defensive zone
Drouin 80.4%
Neutral zone
Drouin 82.5%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 82.6%
82.6%
17.4%
Drouin
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Drouin
Rask
Last 8: Drouin 1-7 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
2
Drouin
Rask
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
2
Drouin
Rask
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
1
3
Drouin
Rask
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (1,824)
50.0% (4,428)
-6.5%
Power Play
48.3% (387)
54.3% (363)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (23)
35.2% (54)
+3.9%
On even strength, Rask has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Drouin is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,385).
Drouin shoots left. Rask is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,102).
Home / Away
Drouin
Rask
Home
44.0% (1,041)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
44.5% (1,193)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
Drouin
Rask
P1
45.9%
50.7%
P2
42.0%
48.9%
P3
45.0%
50.7%
OT
47.1%
52.1%
Final 5 min
42.9%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.3%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2018 | 3 | 14:40 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 3 | 11:32 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 16:47 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 16:37 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 09:41 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 07:06 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 2 | 04:52 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 1, 2017 | 2 | 18:18 | Offensive | Victor Rask |