Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Drouin wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 43.2% vs Rask 54.3% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drouin 83.9%
Defensive zone
Drouin 83.2%
Neutral zone
Drouin 87.8%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 85.9%
85.9%
14.1%
Drouin
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Drouin
Rask
Last 7: Drouin 1-6 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
1
Drouin
Rask
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
2
Drouin
Rask
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
1
3
Drouin
Rask
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (869)
54.5% (628)
-13.0%
Power Play
47.9% (167)
58.0% (88)
-10.1%
On even strength, Rask has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Drouin is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (688).
Drouin shoots left. Rask is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Drouin
Rask
Home
42.8% (502)
58.0% (355)
Away
42.3% (549)
51.8% (361)
By Period
Drouin
Rask
P1
44.0%
54.5%
P2
39.7%
56.3%
P3
44.4%
54.2%
OT
37.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
42.7%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
42.5%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2018 | 3 | 14:40 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 3 | 11:32 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 16:47 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 16:37 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 09:41 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 07:06 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 2 | 04:52 | Offensive | Victor Rask |