Craig Smith vs Jonathan Marchessault
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jonathan Marchessault holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Smith wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Marchessault shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 41.2% vs Marchessault 42.2% (-1.3%)
Offensive zone
Smith 51.3%
Defensive zone
Marchessault 55.8%
Neutral zone
Smith 50.2%
Result
Jonathan Marchessault favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Smith
Marchessault
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Marchessault
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (1,023)
41.3% (1,437)
-0.5%
Power Play
39.4% (198)
44.3% (264)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
44.4% (9)
+0.0%
On power play, Marchessault has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchessault shoots right. Smith is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (311).
Smith shoots right. Marchessault is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (589).
Home / Away
Smith
Marchessault
Home
42.3% (556)
42.5% (888)
Away
39.1% (675)
41.0% (822)
By Period
Smith
Marchessault
P1
39.0%
43.1%
P2
42.1%
42.1%
P3
40.2%
39.9%
OT
75.0%
42.3%
Final 5 min
40.8%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
40.5%
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
41.8%