Jonathan Marchessault vs Ryan Johansen
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +16.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Marchessault wins 40.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchessault 40.9% vs Johansen 53.3% (-16.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marchessault 78.5%
Defensive zone
Marchessault 68.6%
Neutral zone
Marchessault 75.4%
Result
Jonathan Marchessault favored at 71.2%
71.2%
28.8%
Marchessault
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Marchessault
Johansen
Last 8: Marchessault 2-6 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
4
Marchessault
Johansen
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
2
Marchessault
Johansen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchessault
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
36.2% (213)
54.7% (1,149)
-18.5%
Power Play
42.4% (33)
49.7% (191)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
47.9% (121)
+52.1%
On penalty kill, Marchessault has a +52.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Marchessault is 40.4% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Marchessault shoots right. Johansen is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (493).
Home / Away
Marchessault
Johansen
Home
38.7% (111)
52.5% (739)
Away
36.0% (136)
54.6% (722)
By Period
Marchessault
Johansen
P1
43.1%
53.8%
P2
29.2%
55.8%
P3
37.7%
51.2%
OT
25.0%
52.4%
Final 5 min
47.1%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
37.2%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2019 | 2 | 18:25 | Defensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 2 | 18:00 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 2 | 16:12 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 3 | 04:53 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 1 | 07:31 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 1 | 07:26 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Marchessault |