Jonathan Marchessault vs Sean Couturier
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +20.2% FO% edge overall. Marchessault wins 37.5% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchessault 45.9% vs Couturier 53.2% (-20.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marchessault 50.1%
Defensive zone
Couturier 92.3%
Neutral zone
Couturier 67.3%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 67.3%
32.7%
67.3%
Marchessault
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Marchessault
Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marchessault
1
0
Marchessault
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchessault
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
30.0% (30)
53.4% (758)
-23.4%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
62.9% (70)
+3.8%
On even strength, Couturier has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Marchessault is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (24).
Marchessault shoots right. Couturier is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
Marchessault
Couturier
Home
33.3% (21)
50.7% (517)
Away
33.3% (12)
56.1% (538)
By Period
Marchessault
Couturier
P1
45.5%
55.2%
P2
25.0%
53.0%
P3
22.2%
53.3%
OT
100.0%
42.4%
Final 5 min
14.3%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
33.3%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:51 | Neutral | Jonathan Marchessault |