Scouting Report
Andy McDonald holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McDonald wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDonald 57.2% vs Toews 56.3% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
McDonald 50.6%
Defensive zone
Toews 55.9%
Neutral zone
McDonald 50.3%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
McDonald
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
McDonald
Toews
Last 10: McDonald 4-6 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
2
McDonald
Toews
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDonald
2
1
McDonald
Toews
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
2
3
McDonald
Toews
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDonald
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (246)
55.6% (1,125)
+3.3%
Power Play
62.7% (75)
59.3% (312)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (23)
57.4% (204)
-9.6%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. McDonald is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (242).
McDonald shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,194).
Home / Away
McDonald
Toews
Home
63.5% (148)
59.8% (858)
Away
56.2% (201)
53.3% (795)
By Period
McDonald
Toews
P1
64.2%
58.7%
P2
53.8%
55.1%
P3
59.8%
56.5%
OT
66.7%
54.8%
Final 5 min
48.3%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDonald
56.0%▲
48.0%
59.3%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2011 | OT | 02:32 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 6, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 2 | 16:17 | Defensive | Andy McDonald |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 2 | 04:27 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 1 | 19:21 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 1 | 01:44 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |
| Nov 30, 2010 | 3 | 10:11 | Defensive | Andy McDonald |
| Nov 30, 2010 | 1 | 19:13 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 30, 2010 | 1 | 17:26 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 18, 2010 | 2 | 10:24 | Offensive | Andy McDonald |