Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +19.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Comeau on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Comeau wins 37.4% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Comeau 41.5% vs Toews 57.5% (-19.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 58.3%
Defensive zone
Comeau 65.5%
Neutral zone
Comeau 58.1%
Result
Blake Comeau favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Comeau
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Comeau
Toews
Last 6: Comeau 2-4 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
2
Comeau
Toews
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Comeau
2
1
Comeau
Toews
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Comeau
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Comeau
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
40.3% (159)
58.4% (1,115)
-18.1%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
61.3% (256)
-36.3%
Penalty Kill
36.1% (108)
50.5% (182)
-14.4%
On power play, Toews has a +36.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Comeau is 37.4% vs left-shot opponents (195).
Comeau shoots right. Toews is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (518).
Home / Away
Comeau
Toews
Home
43.2% (146)
59.5% (783)
Away
32.8% (125)
56.4% (770)
By Period
Comeau
Toews
P1
43.9%
58.4%
P2
33.0%
59.4%
P3
39.1%
55.9%
Final 5 min
44.9%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Comeau
56.0%▲
47.0%
38.4%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2018 | 3 | 08:50 | Defensive | Blake Comeau |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 3 | 00:33 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 1 | 18:29 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 3 | 12:10 | Defensive | Blake Comeau |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 3 | 08:03 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 00:58 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |