Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 17 meetings). Gordon wins 57.3% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 56.5% vs Toews 59.0% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 23-16 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 70.9%
Defensive zone
Gordon 82.7%
Neutral zone
Gordon 54.3%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Gordon
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
23
(39 meetings)
16
23
Gordon
Toews
Last 10: Gordon 3-7 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
14
Gordon
Toews
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
4
3
Gordon
Toews
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gordon
9
6
Gordon
Toews
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (576)
57.3% (736)
+0.5%
Power Play
73.7% (19)
71.4% (133)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
54.1% (194)
66.1% (62)
-12.0%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Gordon is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (602).
Gordon shoots right. Toews is 58.2% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Home / Away
Gordon
Toews
Home
60.3% (383)
61.0% (479)
Away
54.4% (406)
58.8% (454)
By Period
Gordon
Toews
P1
58.4%
61.3%
P2
56.9%
57.9%
P3
58.8%
59.3%
OT
23.5%
73.3%
Final 5 min
58.5%
60.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
57.3%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2013 | 3 | 18:05 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 3 | 17:53 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 3 | 06:19 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 2 | 17:42 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 2 | 13:48 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 2 | 06:58 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 2 | 01:58 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 1 | 19:00 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 1 | 07:06 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 1 | 06:53 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 1 | 02:59 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 3 | 05:18 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 3 | 05:07 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 3 | 02:29 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 2 | 15:33 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 2 | 15:22 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 2 | 15:08 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |