Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 47.3% vs Toews 57.9% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 16-8 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 93.1%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 93.3%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 93.4%
Result
Cal O'Reilly favored at 93.3%
93.3%
6.7%
O'Reilly
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
16
(24 meetings)
8
16
O'Reilly
Toews
Last 10: O'Reilly 3-7 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
1
O'Reilly
Toews
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
7
O'Reilly
Toews
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
3
8
O'Reilly
Toews
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (800)
57.2% (13,047)
-10.7%
Power Play
50.4% (129)
63.3% (3,252)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
53.6% (1,810)
-3.6%
On power play, Toews has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. O'Reilly is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
O'Reilly shoots left. Toews is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (11,653).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Toews
Home
50.6% (480)
59.7% (9,192)
Away
43.2% (465)
56.1% (8,948)
By Period
O'Reilly
Toews
P1
47.1%
58.6%
P2
46.7%
57.8%
P3
46.8%
57.3%
OT
54.5%
58.9%
Final 5 min
43.8%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
47.0%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2010 | 1 | 15:05 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 13, 2010 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 3 | 13:57 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 2 | 11:55 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 2 | 07:03 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 2 | 06:51 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 2 | 03:48 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 2 | 02:37 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 2 | 00:09 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 1 | 10:09 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 1 | 07:07 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 3 | 16:57 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 3 | 16:48 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 3 | 00:27 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 3 | 00:21 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 2 | 05:47 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 2 | 01:42 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |