Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 51.7% vs Toews 54.6% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Soderberg 63.0%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 80.0%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 70.3%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 75.7%
75.7%
24.3%
Soderberg
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Soderberg
Toews
Last 8: Soderberg 1-7 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
2
Soderberg
Toews
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
5
Soderberg
Toews
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (634)
54.8% (1,153)
-1.8%
Power Play
50.0% (28)
58.8% (233)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (40)
50.0% (166)
-12.5%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Soderberg is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (452).
Soderberg shoots left. Toews is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Toews
Home
58.6% (324)
58.7% (784)
Away
46.3% (378)
51.0% (768)
By Period
Soderberg
Toews
P1
49.6%
54.0%
P2
56.7%
57.4%
P3
49.8%
52.6%
Final 5 min
51.6%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.0%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2017 | 3 | 05:47 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 2 | 07:41 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 2 | 03:55 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 2 | 04:29 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 2 | 07:36 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 09:05 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 2 | 11:34 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 2 | 11:04 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |