Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 49.1% vs Toews 57.5% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 72.5%
Defensive zone
Wagner 72.5%
Neutral zone
Wagner 55.6%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Wagner
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Wagner
Toews
Last 5: Wagner 2-3 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
3
Wagner
Toews
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
1
0
Wagner
Toews
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wagner
1
0
Wagner
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (332)
58.4% (1,115)
-6.9%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
61.3% (256)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (129)
50.5% (182)
-8.6%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Wagner is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (334).
Wagner shoots right. Toews is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (518).
Home / Away
Wagner
Toews
Home
49.8% (233)
59.5% (783)
Away
48.1% (237)
56.4% (770)
By Period
Wagner
Toews
P1
45.9%
58.4%
P2
47.8%
59.4%
P3
52.7%
55.9%
OT
42.9%
61.1%
Final 5 min
50.4%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2017 | 3 | 04:44 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 27, 2017 | 2 | 13:53 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 27, 2017 | 2 | 02:16 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 27, 2017 | 1 | 08:57 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 27, 2017 | 1 | 03:14 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |