Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Giroux wins 63.6% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.9% vs Toews 60.2% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 52.6%
Defensive zone
Giroux 63.6%
Neutral zone
Toews 66.2%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Giroux
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Giroux
Toews
Last 10: Giroux 5-5 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
5
Giroux
Toews
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
3
0
Giroux
Toews
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
60.3% (395)
62.4% (692)
-2.1%
Power Play
67.3% (107)
59.3% (135)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
65.4% (153)
46.9% (32)
+18.5%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Giroux shoots right. Toews is 71.8% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Giroux
Toews
Home
65.9% (337)
60.9% (435)
Away
59.1% (318)
61.8% (424)
By Period
Giroux
Toews
P1
62.1%
60.2%
P2
64.5%
65.7%
P3
60.9%
58.2%
OT
70.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
60.3%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
62.6%
Toews
62.0%▬
61.5%
61.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 19:51 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 16:23 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 17:27 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 10:19 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 15:27 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 16:34 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 12:47 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 10:47 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 04:36 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 1 | 04:35 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |