Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Sillinger on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Sillinger wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 46.9% vs Toews 58.4% (-12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 77.6%
Defensive zone
Toews 93.3%
Neutral zone
Toews 91.4%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 80.3%
19.7%
80.3%
Sillinger
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Sillinger
Toews
Last 5: Sillinger 4-1 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
3
1
Sillinger
Toews
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sillinger
1
0
Sillinger
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (694)
58.0% (901)
-11.3%
Power Play
53.8% (52)
69.5% (226)
-15.7%
Penalty Kill
30.3% (33)
51.7% (209)
-21.4%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Sillinger is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Sillinger shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Toews
Home
47.9% (374)
59.3% (637)
Away
45.2% (405)
58.7% (699)
By Period
Sillinger
Toews
P1
48.5%
61.5%
P2
47.8%
55.2%
P3
42.8%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
46.5%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2022 | 3 | 04:46 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 2 | 15:32 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 2 | 15:10 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 1 | 08:06 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 1 | 00:38 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |