Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zubrus 50.8% vs Toews 56.8% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 57.4%
Defensive zone
Zubrus 85.0%
Neutral zone
Zubrus 67.3%
Result
Dainius Zubrus favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Zubrus
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Zubrus
Toews
Last 8: Zubrus 3-5 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
4
Zubrus
Toews
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zubrus
2
1
Zubrus
Toews
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zubrus
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (319)
55.9% (1,143)
-5.7%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
65.1% (304)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
53.4% (88)
48.5% (97)
+4.9%
On power play, Toews has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Zubrus is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (262).
Zubrus shoots left. Toews is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Home / Away
Zubrus
Toews
Home
55.9% (220)
61.7% (810)
Away
45.6% (204)
52.3% (734)
By Period
Zubrus
Toews
P1
53.9%
56.0%
P2
52.9%
56.9%
P3
46.7%
59.3%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
61.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zubrus
50.0%▲
46.0%
50.9%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2014 | 1 | 19:10 | Offensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Jan 3, 2014 | 1 | 03:39 | Defensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Jan 3, 2014 | 1 | 00:08 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 3 | 05:15 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 2 | 19:38 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 2 | 04:08 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 1 | 17:42 | Defensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 1 | 05:53 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |