Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +17.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Perron wins 39.4% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perron 43.2% vs Toews 57.5% (-17.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Perron 87.7%
Defensive zone
Perron 53.1%
Neutral zone
Perron 79.9%
Result
David Perron favored at 75.4%
75.4%
24.6%
Perron
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Perron
Toews
Last 6: Perron 1-5 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Perron
Toews
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
4
Perron
Toews
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perron
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
37.2% (180)
58.4% (1,115)
-21.2%
Power Play
50.0% (56)
61.3% (256)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
50.5% (182)
-0.5%
On even strength, Toews has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Perron is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (160).
Perron shoots right. Toews is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (518).
Home / Away
Perron
Toews
Home
40.2% (122)
59.5% (783)
Away
40.5% (116)
56.4% (770)
By Period
Perron
Toews
P1
44.6%
58.4%
P2
35.1%
59.4%
P3
41.8%
55.9%
OT
36.4%
61.1%
Final 5 min
41.2%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perron
38.0%▼
40.0%
40.3%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2018 | 2 | 10:35 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 1 | 17:43 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 2 | 12:17 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 1 | 19:42 | Neutral | David Perron |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 1 | 05:46 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |